At a certain point you gotta stop voting for the ‘good cop’ part of the ratchet effect.
At a certain point you gotta stop voting for the ‘good cop’ part of the ratchet effect.
Hey real leadership
parasocial
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can we see the first videographer? I think there are two people trying to get out of its way
And you are 💯 correct. I’ve done my best to document it, because to me, its an incredibly important and interesting phenomena. It’s almost exactly what happens to MAGA in their toxic dismissal of a shared reality. I’m going to save this and when I’m a bit more ready with something, I may reach out.
You can leave any time kiddo.
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These are just “national polls”. Its not a new analysis. I run thousands of these kinds of analyses every month. Check my post on Bidens probability of winning. Check my post structural bias in polling. I’m sorry reality isn’t what you want it to be, but that very much is a “you” problem.
Also, I shared the code with you. You can do your own work on it. Come up with an argument based on the data that validates or invalidates your thesis.
I called Biden dropping out literally 8 months before it happened, and basically to the week. Some asshole here still owes me $200 (I think they deleted their account over it). I called Kamala being the nom. I also thought it she was a great candidate, and she blew past my expectations for performance. I also called a decline/ stagnation in her polling if she didn’t come out strongly on the issue of Israel Gaza.
Its literally all written into my post and comment history, just there, for any one to see.
You really haven’t figured it out yet have you.
I’m going to develop a condition from shaking my head so hard. You could plant corn in the furrows across my brow.
Depends on a couple things. 90’s then or what we think of the 90’s now?
Also, first half or second half. Because basically, the internet. The internet really wasn’t a thing in peoples homes for the first half of the 90’s. That became a thing starting around 95, and became pretty much ubiquitous by the year 2000.
The early 90’s were basically the 80s. The later half was like, grunge, pop-punk, early internet.
successfully plotting coups
Ftfy. We should keep in mind that this guys approach to coups has actually worked in the past. The first attempt at a stolen election was 2000, and it worked.
Scratch blue-maga and you find a pro-genocide mother fucker right under the tin-foil skin of “any blue will do”.
Its -quite fucking literally- because I use data to form my opinions. When the data disagrees with my opinion, I do this crazy fucking thing, where I change my opinion.
Its called “living in fact based world”. Look it up.
Jfc. The second image in the article is Harris with Cheney.
At least this train wreck is being documented.
You aren’t here to help Democrats win.
So what’s your conclusion?
I gave it quick scan and referenced based on your summaries ( thanks for that btw).
To me this all seems very much “in place” for polling data, as in, noisy, but pointing in the same direction.
I always use 5% as my rule of thumb to give the Pubs as a handicap. If a Dem is leading by 5% or more, they are actually leading.