I’m not sure if this is how you would approach this (mathematical) problem. This is my reasoning:
In order for you to choose the girl, the expected value of the money must be worth less than the expected value of being a girl, adjusting for the probabilities.
I’m not sure if this is how you would approach this (mathematical) problem. This is my reasoning:
In order for you to choose the girl, the expected value of the money must be worth less than the expected value of being a girl, adjusting for the probabilities.
99% × $1M < 1% × girl ⇔ 100 × 99% × $1M < girl ⇔ $99M < girlIf anyone would like to correct this, I’m listening.