Place | Team | Points | #1 Votes | Movement |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Georgia | 100 | 4 | - |
2 | Texas | 88 | 0 | +1 |
3 | Notre Dame | 82 | 0 | +4 |
4 | Ohio State | 80 | 0 | - |
5 | Oregon | 65 | 0 | -3 |
6 | Miami (FL) | 64 | 0 | +7 |
7 | alabama | 62 | 0 | +4 |
8 | Oklahoma | 60 | 0 | - |
9 | USC | 59 | 0 | +9 |
10 | Ole Miss | 58 | 0 | - |
10 | Penn State | 58 | 0 | -4 |
12 | Michigan | 51 | 0 | - |
13 | Tennessee | 42 | 0 | +3 |
14 | Missouri | 37 | 0 | +2 |
14 | Utah | 37 | 0 | +4 |
16 | Oklahoma State | 36 | 0 | -3 |
17 | Georgia Tech | 27 | 0 | NR |
17 | Kansas | 27 | 0 | +6 |
19 | LSU | 24 | 0 | -10 |
20 | Florida State | 22 | 0 | -15 |
20 | Kansas State | 22 | 0 | +3 |
20 | Louisville | 22 | 0 | NR |
20 | SMU | 22 | 0 | -2 |
24 | Boston College | 20 | 0 | NR |
24 | Iowa | 20 | 0 | -2 |
Others receiving votes: Texas A&M (19), Clemson (15), Wisconsin (12), Vanderbilt (11), Kentucky (10), UNLV (8), Maryland (7), Boise State (6), Iowa State (6), NC State (5), Auburn (4), Arizona (3), UCF (3), Washington (3), Virginia Tech (2), Arizona State (1)
Link to the results spreadsheet HERE
Link for next weeks poll HERE
Link to submit your CFP bracket prediction for the contest HERE
I don’t get this group. How is Florida State ranked, while Texas A&M and Clemson aren’t? Never mind that Boston College is 4 spots behind. I didn’t put them on my poll, which means that Florida State got an average of #19 from the other 3 voters. I don’t know how you look at that team and still think the Seminoles are a top 20 team.
alabama is all lowercase, please don’t fix it.
The spreadsheet of votes is locked. I can’t see where all the polls ranked everyone.
I see a few other trends, but I think they are just outliers due to the small sample size. I bet it will all get figured out in the next 2 weeks.
I didn’t rank Florida State, so make that 2 other voters. b/t this poll and last year’s polls, some of the people using computer polls need to work on refining their algorithms :P
I too would like to see the spreadsheet.
Hopefully, there are more submissions in the coming weeks.
I think the spreadsheet permissions have been updated, feel free to yell at me if not
Capitalization is for proper nouns and alabama is not a proper place…
FSU got ranked highly due to one of the computer polls, FSU has played more games but they’ll drop out of that poll in the coming weeks (check the poll in this comment: https://lemmy.world/comment/12160842). But with only 4 ballots that’s enough to keep them ranked.
I’ll look into unlocking the poll results, I certainly want this to be transparent
I see now about Florida State. I remember that poll from last year was had a few outliers early on, but I felt like it came together nicely at the end. It explains almost all of their points.
USC won. Clemson lost. Clemson is no longer in the poll results.
The only thing that could make this week better is if Georgia had also lost, but… gotta pick the lesser evil 😆
Updated the banner and sidebar!
I see I’m catching a lot of flack here for my computer poll (and understandably so), to which I say: vote in the poll! The more participants, the more my funky algorithm gets drowned out. I will say, I did tweak it this year to further devalue preseason expectations, but I can’t let it just stand on 1.5 weeks of data. Preseason expectations get fully flushed out after week 4.
Also, because the transfer portal makes it so hard to get a read on rosters early in the season, I outsourced the returning production variable to Action Network’s metric. It worked pretty well last year, but I’m not sure they’re on the mark this year. If anyone has a better source (that is free or cheap), I’m willing to give it a try for next year.
My ballot – still a little weird from preseason expectations, but that’s mostly factored out now. The bigger issue is that 2-3 weeks of data is too small a sample size for the computer to know what to do with. Teams that played P4 teams are very high (even if they lost), whereas teams that played FCS schools are very low (even if they blew them out). Teams that already had a bye are even lower (exacerbated by this season having an extra bye week). It should all be sorted out in a couple weeks.
I will say, by eye test I really disagree with some of these rankings (I mean, ou up to number 4???) but I find the pure data intriguing, especially for spots 40ish through 134 which a lot of people ignore. I’m considering a few tweaks (to diminish the effects of garbage time stat padding), but it would make the algorithm more complex. Without fully automating it, I need to keep it simple enough to tabulate semi-manually every week. Hoping I can use next offseason to tinker with some scripts.
Full ranking:
Rank Change Team Record Points 1 +1 Texas 2-0 461 2 -1 Georgia 2-0 438 3 +2 Ohio State 2-0 375 4 +3 Oklahoma 2-0 347 5 +1 Penn State 2-0 339 6 +5 USC 2-0 338 7 -4 Oregon 2-0 323 8 -4 Florida State 0-2 314 9 +7 Georgia Tech 2-1 309 10 +0 SMU 2-1 305 11 -2 Notre Dame 1-1 302 12 -4 Miami (FL) 2-0 300 13 +9 Alabama 2-0 286 14 +13 Nebraska 2-0 279 15 +3 Clemson 1-1 277 16 +22 Tennessee 2-0 271 17 +6 Ole Miss 2-0 270 18 +1 Louisville 2-0 267 19 +9 Maryland 1-1 261 T20 +5 Missouri 2-0 258 T20 -8 Texas A&M 1-1 258 22 -10 LSU 1-1 257 23 +1 Virginia Tech 1-1 256 24 -9 Michigan 1-1 253 25 +21 South Carolina 2-0 252 26 -6 Oklahoma State 2-0 251 T27 -7 Iowa State 2-0 250 T27 +9 North Carolina 2-0 250 T27 -11 Iowa 1-1 250 30 +7 Boise State 1-1 244 31 +1 Utah 2-0 242 T32 -18 Wisconsin 2-0 237 T32 +0 Boston College 2-0 237 T32 +11 Syracuse 2-0 237 35 -10 Kentucky 1-1 236 36 -6 Kansas State 2-0 232 37 -6 Kansas 1-1 231 T38 +11 Rutgers 2-0 225 T38 +23 Arizona State 2-0 225 40 -5 Auburn 1-1 221 41 +14 UCF 2-0 218 42 +8 Northwestern 1-1 217 T43 +8 California 2-0 216 T43 +17 Nevada 2-0 216 T43 +34 Northern Illinois 1-2 216 T46 +12 Texas State 2-0 213 T46 +24 Pittsburgh 2-0 213 48 -5 Liberty 2-0 210 49 -4 UNLV 2-0 209 50 -12 Arizona 2-0 207 51 -17 West Virginia 1-1 201 T52 -5 Indiana 2-0 200 T52 -23 Miami (OH) 0-1 200 54 +4 Houston 0-2 198 T55 +8 Memphis 2-0 197 T55 +9 Duke 2-0 197 T55 +13 Illinois 2-0 197 58 -6 TCU 2-0 196 59 +5 Washington 2-0 195 T60 +13 Louisiana 2-0 194 T60 -13 Minnesota 1-1 194 62 -22 Florida 1-1 193 63 -22 Fresno State 1-1 192 64 +0 Old Dominion 0-2 190 T65 +30 Washington State 2-0 187 T65 -11 Colorado 1-1 187 67 +32 Michigan State 2-0 185 68 +7 Toledo 2-0 184 69 +15 Oregon State 2-0 181 70 +1 Bowling Green 1-1 180 T71 -30 Appalachian State 1-1 178 T71 -18 Rice 1-1 178 T73 -16 UTSA 1-1 175 T73 -1 FAU 0-2 175 75 +5 Arkansas 1-1 173 T76 +2 Baylor 1-1 172 T76 +2 Sam Houston 1-1 172 T76 +12 Georgia Southern 1-1 172 79 +17 BYU 2-0 171 80 +39 FIU 1-1 170 81 +5 Cincinnati 1-1 169 82 +22 Ohio 1-1 168 T83 +7 Mississippi State 1-1 167 T83 -1 South Alabama 0-2 167 T85 +11 ECU 2-0 164 T85 -18 USF 1-1 164 T87 -6 Coastal Carolina 2-0 163 T87 -31 UCLA 1-0 163 T89 -5 Arkansas State 2-0 162 T89 -28 Hawaii 1-1 162 T89 +14 Wake Forest 1-1 162 T92 -4 Vanderbilt 2-0 160 T92 +17 Virginia 2-0 160 94 +16 Army 2-0 159 95 -27 Texas Tech 1-1 158 T96 +22 Navy 2-0 156 T96 +9 Tulane 1-1 156 T98 +14 Eastern Michigan 1-1 153 T98 +0 Charlotte 0-2 153 100 +14 San Jose State 2-0 150 101 -7 UNT 2-0 149 T102 -3 James Madison 2-0 148 T102 -11 Stanford 1-1 148 104 +2 Marshall 1-1 146 105 +2 Troy 0-2 145 106 -32 NC State 1-1 141 107 +22 UL Monroe 2-0 140 108 -15 Georgia State 1-1 136 109 -18 Western Michigan 0-2 134 110 -11 Jacksonville State 0-2 133 111 +0 Air Force 1-1 132 T112 -36 Purdue 1-0 130 T112 +5 New Mexico State 1-1 130 114 -27 Wyoming 0-2 128 115 -32 Utah State 1-1 127 116 +7 UMass 0-2 126 117 +7 Tulsa 1-1 125 118 -19 Western Kentucky 1-1 124 119 -4 UAB 1-1 122 120 -4 Akron 0-2 116 121 -14 Colorado State 1-1 115 122 -10 New Mexico 0-2 114 123 -2 Central Michigan 1-1 109 T124 -2 UConn 1-1 106 T124 +1 San Diego State 1-1 106 126 -1 Southern Miss 1-1 101 127 -2 Buffalo 1-1 98 128 -9 Middle Tennessee 1-1 97 129 +1 Kent State 0-2 92 130 +1 UTEP 0-2 90 131 -3 Ball State 1-0 86 132 +1 Temple 0-2 81 133 +1 Kennesaw State 0-2 80 134 -2 Louisiana Tech 1-0 73 Trends:
- UGA is definitely our favorite so far, let’s see if anyone can bridge that gap
- FSU was a massive loser, even if they maybe should’ve lost even more
- FSU is however, the only “state” school ranked higher than their non “state” sister school
- USC actually lived up to some hype for once in the post Pete Carrol era
- Massive 4 way tie there towards the back of the pack, I think that’s the first time we’ve seen it?
- OSU, SMU and Iowa all won, but didn’t beat the snot out of their opponents enough to not slide.
- Lots of “receiving votes” this week. Means we are far from unified on spots 20-25 especially
So just checking, are we supposed to submit our ballots for week 3 in the link above? Because I did, but looking at the results it seems like it might still have week 2 ballots as well.
Yeah, my general workflow is honestly sloppy af with this thing. But I typically just leave the poll up as the same link and just clear the submissions every week. I do all the calcs on the sheets doc anyway (cut and paste the weeks out to their own sheets each week) so it doesn’t really impact the results. Unfortunately I’m only ok at remembering to do all of this lol. It should be all up to date now.
Edit: I’m also likely to split the results and vote posts up again, as I imagine the other 2 voters last week probably want their name in the pot for the gift card. And it may be unclear the I need some sort of fedi user verification.
My ballot this week:
- Georgia
- Texas
- Ole Miss
- Ohio State
- Tennessee
- Louisville
- Miami (FL)
- Alabama
- Missouri
- Oregon
- Oklahoma
- USC
- Penn State
- Utah
- Kansas State
- Michigan
- LSU
- Oklahoma State
- UCF
- Vanderbilt
- Boston College
- South Carolina
- Kentucky
- Nebraska
- Clemson