I wonder if this helps explains why polling has been getting worse than usual since 2016. (In relation to presidential polling (midterm polling has been historically accurate).

Chart Source, Axios

  • FundMECFSResearch@lemmy.blahaj.zoneOP
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    17 days ago

    That’s likely a really low percentage unfortunately.

    I think the estimates are only 2-4% of Trump 2016 voters voted Biden 2020.

    But there definitely is something to the “shy Trump voter” theory.

      • FundMECFSResearch@lemmy.blahaj.zoneOP
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        17 days ago

        Shy Trump voter is the main theory about why pollsters consistently underestimate Trump.

        A good part of Trump voters are idiots who brag about it. But there’s a decent chunk who thinks he’s an arse, but are deluded into thinking that he’d be better for immigration/the economy or whatever and vote for him without telling anyone because they are embarrassed.

        • sp3ctr4l@lemmy.zip
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          17 days ago

          I know.

          I’d be embarrassed to be an out and proud fascist too!

          The Shy Trump Voter theory is basically the theory that a whole lot of Americans are fascists, support fascist policies and leaders, but are self aware enough to realize they’d be socially ostracized for doing so openly, brazenly, enthusiastically.

          I no longer care to coddle, or reframe the confusion or embarrassment or stupidity and ignorance of people who… know what they are doing is wrong, so they lie about what they’re doing.