Zeihan seems convinced Trump will lose but man, I don’t think it’s gonna be that simple. If more Americans were aware that Trump has no way of transporting us back to 2019 when inflation was low and wars were not as rampant, it would be a no-brainer. But many voters are terribly ignorant.
If he does lose, it’s gonna be quite interesting seeing how the GOP rebuilds itself. DeSantis was the obvious successor in November 2022, but I don’t see that anymore. The GOP at-large has no appetite for someone resembling Romney or McCain, so no Haley or Burgum in 2024.
Assuming he loses and we’re looking at 2028, I could see one of Trump’s large adult sons running. I could also see someone like MTG making a run for it. As long as the GOP at-large embraces MAGA mentality, they will only get joke candidates, and none of them will come close to winning a general election.
It’s been a long time since we’ve had a major redrawning of parties in the US - remember the Whig party? Heck, Dems and Repubs were once a single party - the Democratic Republicans.
I wonder if a loss would mean the effective end of the GOP, but perhaps a split in the Dems as more liberal (e.g. Basic Income supporters) break off from some more conservative Dems, leading to a new two party system…
Zeihan seems convinced Trump will lose but man, I don’t think it’s gonna be that simple. If more Americans were aware that Trump has no way of transporting us back to 2019 when inflation was low and wars were not as rampant, it would be a no-brainer. But many voters are terribly ignorant.
If he does lose, it’s gonna be quite interesting seeing how the GOP rebuilds itself. DeSantis was the obvious successor in November 2022, but I don’t see that anymore. The GOP at-large has no appetite for someone resembling Romney or McCain, so no Haley or Burgum in 2024.
Assuming he loses and we’re looking at 2028, I could see one of Trump’s large adult sons running. I could also see someone like MTG making a run for it. As long as the GOP at-large embraces MAGA mentality, they will only get joke candidates, and none of them will come close to winning a general election.
It’s been a long time since we’ve had a major redrawning of parties in the US - remember the Whig party? Heck, Dems and Repubs were once a single party - the Democratic Republicans.
I wonder if a loss would mean the effective end of the GOP, but perhaps a split in the Dems as more liberal (e.g. Basic Income supporters) break off from some more conservative Dems, leading to a new two party system…